EUR/USD: Neutral: Odds for a move above 1.0870/75 are not high.

The 1.0825/30 level that we have talked about since Thursday was finally met with an overnight high of 1.0825. Shorter-term upward momentum is slowing down and while a move above 1.0825/30 would not be surprising, the odds for a break above last December high of 1.0870/75 are not high. Support is at 1.0745 but only a move back below 1.0715 would indicate that a short-term top is in place.

GBP/USD: Bullish: To take half-profit at 1.2545/50.

GBP hit an overnight high of 1.2507 before closing on a strong note. The bullish phase that started on Monday  is still intact. However, from a shorter-term perspective, the rally appears to be running ‘too fast, too soon’ and those who are long should look to book half-profit at 1.2545/50, just below the 1.2570 high seen in late February. Stop-loss is unchanged at 1.2340.

AUD/USD: Neutral: In a 0.7600/0.7730 range.

There is not much to add as we continue to view the current movement as part of a 0.7600/0.7730 consolidation phase even though the immediate bias is for a probe lower towards the low end of the expected 0.7600/0.7730 range. Looking further ahead, as long as there is no sustained drop below 0.7600, we expect the current consolidation to be resolved to the upside.

NZD/USD: Neutral: In a 0.6950/0.7090 range.

As highlighted yesterday, NZD has likely made a short-term top at 0.7090 earlier this week. The current price action is viewed as part of a consolidation phase that could last for several days. Overall, expect sideway trading from here, likely between 0.6950 and 0.7090.

USD/JPY: Neutral: No signs of stabilization just yet.

While we expected USD to extend its decline towards 111.05/10, the pace of the drop and the ease of which this level is taken out came as a surprise (overnight low of 110.71). Despite being severely oversold, there is no sign of stabilization just yet and further weakness towards the psychology level of 110.00 is not ruled out. Overall, this pair is expected to stay under pressure unless it can move above stay above 112.50.


EUR/USD: Neutral: Recovery to extend to 1.0825/30

It took a while but EUR finally managed to move above 1.0800 and hit an overnight high of 1.0819. This level is just below the solid 1.0825/30 resistance and as indicated in recent updates, is unlikely to yield so easily. That said, in view of the strong daily closing yesterday, a move above this level is not ruled out but shorter-term indicators are severely overbought and the odds for a move above last December high of 1.0870/75 are not high. On the downside, support is at 1.0745 but only a move back below 1.0715

AUD/USD: Neutral: In a 0.7600/0.7730 range.

AUD eked out a fresh high of 0.7750 but was unable to hold on to its gain. The subsequent sharp drop from the high indicates that the upward pressure post-FOMC has eased off. A temporary top is likely in place at 0.7750 and AUD is deemed to have moved into a sideway-trading range. That said, the immediate bias is for a probe lower towards the low end of the expected 0.7600/0.7730 consolidation range.

NZD/USD: Neutral: In a 0.6950/0.7090 range.

The rebound target of 0.7085 that was first highlighted last Thursday was exceeded as NZD hit a high of 0.7090 yesterday. However, the subsequent sharp drop from the high was unexpected. An interim top is likely place and NZD is deemed to have moved into a consolidation phase, likely between 0.6950 and 0.7090.

USD/JPY: Neutral: Oversold but room for extension to 111.05/10.

The sudden acceleration lower yesterday that took out the strong 111.65/70 support was unexpected. The decline is severely oversold especially from a shorter-term perspective but there is room for further extension to 111.05/10. Key short-term resistance has moved lower to 112.50.

Source: United Overseas Bank Global Economics & Markets Research

Southeast Asian stock markets ended little changed in dull trade on Tuesday as investors were cautious ahead of a widely expected  interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve next week amid concerns about President Donald Trump’s economic policies. 
Fed Chair Janet Yellen has signalled that the central bank might raise interest rates at its next meeting on March 14-15, and may move faster after that than it has in years.
After Janet Yellen’s speech last week, the market will be ready for a rate hike when the U.S. Federal Reserve meets next week unless this Friday’s jobs report is a disaster.

Consumer prices rose 3.3 percent but was within the range the central bank had expected, the statistics agency said.
Singapore shares rose after two sessions of falls, buoyed by financials and industrials. Real estate company CapitaLand Ltd gained 2.3 percent, while automotive conglomerate Jardine Matheson Holdings Ltd climbed 0.6 percent.


Posted: February 22, 2017 in Uncategorized



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Date Open High Low Close Volume VWAP
21 Feb 2017 0.295 0.325 0.295 0.310 5,447,000 0.3129
20 Feb 2017 0.295 0.300 0.295 0.295 219,500 0.2980
17 Feb 2017 0.295 0.295 0.295 0.295 261,500 0.2950
16 Feb 2017 0.295 0.300 0.295 0.295 262,000 0.2960
15 Feb 2017 0.305 0.305 0.295 0.300 341,600 0.3008
14 Feb 2017 0.290 0.305 0.290 0.305 1,022,800 0.2982

FOREX and COMEX Market Updates

Posted: January 28, 2016 in Forex

Gold markets although positive overall had a negative session on Wednesday. We are getting signals for an initial uptrend. A break above a recent high from yesterday is giving us the confidence to say that the market might reach the $1150 level. At present, the money is flowing into the market and with time it might go higher. We are currently looking for pullbacks to enter long positions. Given enough time, we believe that we will go much higher than that, and it appears that money is starting to flow into this market.
Silver markets due to a support at the $14.40 level was able to turn an initial fall and form a Hammer. The bullish tendencies of a hammer suggest that the traders might take this market higher. A sound strategy for entering long positions would be to wait for the $14.60 level to be breached. Any pullback that occurs at this moment, should be overall supportive.
Crude Oil prices climbed higher on Wednesday inspite of a larger than expected build in inventories. The 10-day Moving Average is currently showing a support in the vicinity of 30.17 level whereas a resistance level seems to be present near the downtrend line at the 34.25 level. The overall momentum seems to be negative whereas the MACD(Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is currently somewhat indecisive. The RSI(Relative Strength Index) too is indecisive. The present scenario seems to be made for short positions.
The EUR/USD stepped up due to the announcement by the Federal Reserve that the federal rates would remain unchanged for the time being; however they did express their doubts on whether the inflation would reach their target goal. Although a degree of relaxation cold be scene but the overall scenario was not as dovish as expected. Hence, march can be expected to be a tough ride. The 10-day Moving Average acted as the support for the rate at 1.0870 whereas resistance is seen at 1.10.
The GBP/USD has continued with its downtrend during the Trading session on Wednesday, as the bears seems to be holding the reigns of the overall market. Due to the downtrend, we would be looking to short the market on short term rallies and at breakouts below the bottom of the range for the day. Due to the expected Preliminary GDP numbers in the day and the strengthening US dollars, we are not taking any long positions for the time being.
The AUD/USD climbed higher during the day on Wednesday, breaking above the most recent resistance. However, the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, level still posed a massive resistance in the later half of the trading session; hence we remain focused on short positions. Following that we have an uptrend line that we had previously breached which is in close proximity with the 61.8% Retracement level. Hence, we need to be extra cautious in choosing our positions. At the moment, the wise move will be to look for exhaustive candles in order to start selling again.
The USD/JPY went up during the trading hours on Wednesday, crossing the 1118.50 level. We will believe the the market is all poised to climb up, if it breaks above the top of the range. The first stop of the ascend would be the 20.50 level. Our suggestion would be to buy supportive candles at lower levels.

Gold prices are facing resistance almost in the same as the January highs of 1,113 whereas a better than expected Chinese trade data gave a support near the 10-day Moving Average at 1,085. Gold prices climbed higher due to the US stocks moving lower and the investors running towards the yellow metal to take cover. MACD(Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is suggesting positive momentum. Trading Signal Trial
The Silver markets on Wednesday climbed up but were still within the same range which they have not left for some time. We have a resistance at $14.60 level, but with people rushing towards gold suddenly has brought massive buying buying pressure in gold. Hence, silver too might get some taste. we have hopes that the market might garner some short term gains in the immediate future. Any pullback from this level, might see a support at the $13.80 level.
Crude Oil
Crude Oil prices remained stationary and consolidated in the same range, despite of decline in inventories if heating oil and gasoline. We have a resistance in the vicinity of 10-day Moving Average at 33.86 and a support near the January low at 29.93. The Relative Strength Index(RSI) showed an oversold level. In any case, if we fall any more; the downward move would only gain speed whereas any upward rallies should be exploited.
The GBP/USD pair took a dive on Wednesday under the negative market pressure. The pair somehow managed to form a hammer and gives some hope of a residual resilience left. Any type of rally initiating in this area has the potential to be exploited as a short position. Even a breach below the lows from the past few days would serve the same purpose. Long positions at the moment are not comfortable to enter at the moment.
The EUR/USD after having found a jumping base at 1.08 level had a roller coast ride on Wednesday moving to and fro for the entire duration. The majority negative sentiment that is prevalent at the moment is dense enough to keep us on the sidelines for the moment. For the time being, best move is to exploit short positions on short term rallies.
The AUD/USD kept fluctuating around the 0.70 level which led to the pair slipping on Wednesday. The present scenario signals that it might go even lower. An up trend line was noticed to have been breached which can be considered to be a shift in the momentum and the rallies are also observed to be under selling pressure. Our expectations are around 0.65 level being reached given sufficient time.
The USD/JPY saw massive resistance at 118.50 level and dropped on Wednesday. The present scenario also suggest that the drop might continue. The main point of this pair is that ii is very sensitive to risk aversion and hence would see a large majority returning to sell US dollars.Long positions are only to be entered in case the 119 level is breached.